Polymarket Trader

xyk0279

@xyk0279111

0x22c8b173b9de01a2311c49d9eb008611c1c0819b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $368.84
Realized PnL: $807.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $218.43
Potential payout: $261.59
Potential profit: $43.16
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $211.2
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.19
Potential profit: $192.19
User PnL: -$72.07

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $25.01
Potential payout: $172.47
Potential profit: $147.46
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.31

No position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.62
Potential profit: $154.62
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.23
Potential profit: $149.23
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $134.64
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.27
Potential profit: $124.27
User PnL: -$36.43

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$40

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $102.56
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.94
Potential profit: $99.94
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $88.24
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.82
Potential profit: $81.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $65.61
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.8
Potential profit: $67.8
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.75
Potential profit: $64.75
User PnL: -$38.85

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.07

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.13

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Flames

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.73

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.19

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.92

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.37

EDward Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Canucks position

Capitals vs. Canucks

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Levante UD vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.71

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44

No position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

No position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Devils position

Devils vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Flyers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.99

No position

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 17% 113.65 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

No 75% 133.33 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 60% 20.42 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 89% 224.72 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 74% 253.16 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 97.5% 102.56 shares
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 220 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Yes 3.8% 26.15 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?

Down 48% 20.83 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 79% 253.16 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?

Up 54% 18.52 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares