Polymarket Trader

0x22CEBbD949aBBd064C4553F52333A6c73C87C001-1774210213178

0x22cebbd949abbd064c4553f52333a6c73c87c001

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.45
Realized PnL: $170.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $8.14
Potential payout: $87.5
Potential profit: $79.36
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $40.03
Potential profit: $38.01
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.2
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.31
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.4

Dune 3 position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.9
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $15.23
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.6
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.49

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.64

Chicken Coop Esports position

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Team Aether - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66

Kiwoom DRX Challengers position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

TYLOO position

Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Lavked position

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Rebels Gaming position

Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Texas Stars position

AHL: Texas Stars vs. San Jose Barracuda

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Galions position

LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Draw at halftime?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 0.2% 20 shares
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?

Yes 10.1% 2 shares
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Yes 12% 0.45 shares
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Yes 29.2% 1.09 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 18% 20 shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Yes 12% 60 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals 49% 4.96 shares
Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: Draw at halftime?

Yes 37% 3.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Up 46% 4.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 85% 4.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 33% 4.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 65% 4.88 shares