Polymarket Trader

WillFS

0x22d33cd798450c3e6e3b971e58f8a26a8710c969

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.8K
Realized PnL: $14.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.95K
Potential profit: $102.95K
User PnL: -$142.07

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43K
Potential profit: $71.43K
User PnL: -$499.93

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39K
Potential profit: $39K
User PnL: -$234

Down position

XRP Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $24K
User PnL: -$111.84

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $10.09K
User PnL: -$19.99

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $9.2K
User PnL: -$148.32

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.85K
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$48.19

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $584.93
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$52.17

No position

Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $762.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $197.04

Yes position

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $312.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$9.24

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$13.8

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$878.32

No position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $540
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $138
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $32

No position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $900.35
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $600.23
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$29.97

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$9.56

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$9.06

No position

APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $212.64
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $790.4
Multiplier: 4.72x
User PnL: $201.61

No position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $525.02
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $475.02
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $264.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35K

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $860

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $714.49

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.55

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.89

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.93

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.66

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.14

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.84

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.26

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.7

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.98

No position

Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.12

No position

Russian strike on Poland by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.79

No position

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.98

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 2,500 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 2,500 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

No 49% 1,000 shares
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

No 84% 1,070 shares
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 22.6% 2,500 shares
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 75% 829.22 shares
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 61% 500 shares
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 3,100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 64.2% 5,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 71,428.57 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 27.2% 999.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 80.8% 62.16 shares