MNTF-W

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.18
Potential profit: $45.18
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.65
Potential profit: $34.65
User PnL: -$4.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.4
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.94
Potential profit: $28.94
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.31
Potential profit: $26.31
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $24.3
Potential profit: $23.32
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $22.72
Potential profit: $19.54
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72
Potential profit: $22.72
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $22.72
Potential profit: $15.33
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72
Potential profit: $22.72
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.57
Potential profit: $22.57
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.68
Potential profit: $15.68
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $9.29
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.17
Potential profit: $12.17
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.18
Potential profit: $9.18
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $6.09
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $6.09
User PnL: -$2.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 3?