Polymarket Trader

SusanWarrenHR

0x22dbd51e1a4e10fff072fa24300238c64033190f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.89K
Realized PnL: $58.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.16K
Potential profit: $6.16K
User PnL: -$1.26K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.23K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $775
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $645

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $51.75
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$442.33

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $377.38
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $34.04

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $827.9
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$244.48

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.39K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$170.68

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61.1%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $779
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $744.23

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $227.42
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $586.53

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$627.41

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $170.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $929.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$177.31

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $873.3
Potential payout: $905.44
Potential profit: $32.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $131.22

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $864.25
Potential profit: $864.25
User PnL: -$41.65

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.53
Potential profit: $777.53
User PnL: -$53.02

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $108.76
Potential payout: $750.09
Potential profit: $641.32
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$176.62

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$261.67

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $732.66
Potential profit: $731.56
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$393.57

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $109.87
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $520.13
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$20.93

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $596.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $3.9
User PnL: $52.35

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $534.45
Potential payout: $536.86
Potential profit: $2.42
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $177.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $322.49
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $446.88
Potential payout: $472.89
Potential profit: $26.01
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $68.57

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.96
Potential profit: $459.96
User PnL: -$76.79

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $87.75
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $362.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$58.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63K

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02K

No position

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

Yes position

Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will Fear & Greed Index report "Extreme Fear" on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?

Ends May 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will the Department of Health and Human Services be most efficient on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Lex interview?

Ends Sep 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will John Mulaney actually fight children?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.2% 2,062.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84.9% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82.9% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82% 203.9 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 83.4% 500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82.9% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 71% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 80.6% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 26% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 72.4% 1,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 22% 400 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 21% 1,000 shares