Polymarket Trader

asdws

0x22dff18eee34b14786cdcda744c9c24ca2a8ed56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $344.54
Realized PnL: $1.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $302.35
Potential payout: $499.75
Potential profit: $197.4
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $59.14

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.15
Potential profit: $80.15
User PnL: -$72.15

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.62
Potential profit: $46.62
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.77
Potential payout: $39.44
Potential profit: $9.66
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.71
Potential profit: $32.71
User PnL: -$21.59

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $21.6
User PnL: -$3.24

No position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.09
Potential profit: $20.09
User PnL: -$15.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 73.1%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $16.99
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.17
Potential profit: $16.17
User PnL: -$9.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.23

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.88

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.66

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.76

No position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.66

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.75

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.52

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.71

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.47

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.4

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.29

Yes position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win 1 award at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.77

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.59

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.44

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.58

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36

Yes position

Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.83

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

FURIA Esports position

LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6?

No 57% 16.99 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Yes 71.9% 39.44 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

22% 87.85 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 66% 32.71 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?

63% 41.57 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

No 76% 20.09 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

68.1% 21.39 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?

62.3% 14.86 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 61% 49.18 shares
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) AND Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Spread: Algeria (-1.5)

71.8% 48.33 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

15.6% 36.47 shares