Polymarket Trader

Erka-RoadTo1M

@erka_lamar

0x22e645acff2bbb2cd7a74462f8779eb6f53d409f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $149.32
Realized PnL: $91.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $70K
User PnL: -$413.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.95K
Potential profit: $45.95K
User PnL: -$581.69

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.26K
Potential profit: $44.26K
User PnL: -$2.81K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.96K
Potential profit: $31.96K
User PnL: -$269.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $31K
User PnL: -$129.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$59.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.41K
Potential profit: $28.41K
User PnL: -$247.57

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.93K
Potential profit: $27.93K
User PnL: -$930.51

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.36K
Potential profit: $26.36K
User PnL: -$200.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$34.92

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$59.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$96.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$44.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.03K
Potential profit: $24.03K
User PnL: -$134.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $24K
User PnL: -$155.59

Yes position

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $149.32
Potential payout: $22.97K
Potential profit: $22.82K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$18.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73K
Potential profit: $22.73K
User PnL: -$22.73

Yes position

Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 18 or later?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.37K
Potential profit: $22.37K
User PnL: -$22.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $22K
User PnL: -$149.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.08K
Potential profit: $21.08K
User PnL: -$40.16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$104.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$29.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49K

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.3K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.33K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $130 December 8-14?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7K

Mullarkey position

UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.65K

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62K

Volkov position

Volkov vs. Almeida

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Figueiredo position

UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44K

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Murzakanov position

Rakic vs. Murzakanov

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.55K

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

No position

Erdoğan out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Gane position

Aspinall vs. Gane

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Will Maduro visit the White House in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?

No 0.3% 1,418.14 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?

No 1.8% 17 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?

No 0.5% 2,500 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15?

No 0.2% 222.58 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?

No 3% 881 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?

No 0.2% 475.07 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?

No 3% 1,221.56 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?

No 2.2% 145.28 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?

No 0.2% 9,260.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?

No 0.1% 3,433.1 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?

No 0.2% 175.48 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?

No 2.3% 439.72 shares