Polymarket Trader

D0cc

0x22e9aff90be9351c7529a8ec8508605e5ca9cb9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $815.39
Realized PnL: $4.72K
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US inauguration on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $17K
User PnL: -$185.01

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $8.78K
User PnL: -$845.48

Yes position

Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $7.86K
User PnL: -$352.39

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $643.34
Potential payout: $7.57K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$857.45

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$23.46

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$14.4

No position

Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$39.99

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.77K
User PnL: -$22.25

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.59K
Potential profit: $5.59K
User PnL: -$446.75

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$17.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $5.24K
User PnL: -$82.99

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$15.94

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $3.77K
User PnL: -$12.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$51.99

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$164.54

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$151.48

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$5.32

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $172.05
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $937.95
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.73
Potential profit: $520.73
User PnL: -$49.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.63

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Netanyahu out before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.22

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.43

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.84

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.85

No position

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.61

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.62

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 6% 1,466.67 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 9% 2,722.22 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 1,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

No 98.3% 1,721.64 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 7% 400 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 9% 66.67 shares