No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $63.6K
- Potential payout
- $67.84K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.13K
Polymarket Trader
po18503
0x22ff0d89d0911171c90c2902d8789acf2d6b5254
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.62K
- Realized PnL
- $3.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $24.29K
- Potential payout
- $26.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.49K
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $63.34
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.21K
- User PnL
- -$7.2K
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $4.82K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $389.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $281.34
No position
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
No position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$838.37
No position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.21
- Potential profit
- $550.21
- User PnL
- -$477.02
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $542.82
- Potential profit
- $542.82
- User PnL
- -$472.54
No position
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.13
- Potential profit
- $209.13
- User PnL
- -$12.52
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $54.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.3
- Potential profit
- $32.3
- User PnL
- -$29.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.84
No position
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.84
No position
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.18
No position
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.24
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.48
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.64
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $58.22
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.39
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.28
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.84
No position
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
Sabalenka position
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 85% 1,000 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 86.2% 1,000 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 32% 5 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 87% 2,549.84 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 85% 31.77 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 85% 20 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 85% 671.85 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 90% 714.06 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 82% 1,385.39 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 85% 11,575.38 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 85% 2,531.51 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 86% 42.74 shares