Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$38.92
Polymarket Trader
Osiriom
0x2317374ae0fa448547062d710c0cdc1d357c83f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $435.09
- Realized PnL
- $239.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $42.31
- Potential payout
- $769.22
- Potential profit
- $726.91
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $533.32
- Potential profit
- $533.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $408.14
- Potential profit
- $407.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $38.19
- Potential payout
- $305.49
- Potential profit
- $267.31
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $25.71
- Potential payout
- $190.48
- Potential profit
- $164.77
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $103.9
- Potential payout
- $103.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $64.42
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $88.89
- Potential profit
- $78.67
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $83.33
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $63.33
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70.17
- Potential payout
- $70.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $30.17
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $60.53
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$13.03
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $58.82
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $43.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.11
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.82
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.88
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 35% 228.57 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 40 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes 26% 58.82 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes 40% 63.29 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 24% 62.5 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 26% 76.92 shares