Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.27K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- User PnL
- -$21.81
Polymarket Trader
shoggoth
0x231b923ef301b60f2ca041d658ad8c05432e73df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $966.63
- Realized PnL
- $98.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $442.75
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $107.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $88.45
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $201.55
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $182.04
- Potential payout
- $206.86
- Potential profit
- $24.82
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $113.11
- Potential payout
- $195.02
- Potential profit
- $81.91
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $19.95
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.72
- Potential profit
- $130.72
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $42.62
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $12.37
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $21.65
- Potential profit
- $19.14
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 31% 150 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 13.8% 478.35 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 48% 400 shares
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 31% 400 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 57% 15.02 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 550 shares
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 24 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?No 99.7% 21 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?No 99.7% 21 shares
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No 85% 182.86 shares
- Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?No 77.1% 54.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 8% 146.88 shares