Yes position
Will Solana reach $240 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Polymarket Trader
xiaoHon
@aohga43221398
0x232c62c6ef703eee271f971b324486a91d254f3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $54.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.47
- Potential profit
- $128.47
- User PnL
- -$122.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.42
- Potential profit
- $42.42
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Solana reach $210 November 17-23?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No 95.2% 128.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No 99.8% 122.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No 99.9% 122.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 99.9% 121.12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 98.4% 20.33 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.8% 30.06 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 99.6% 70.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No 99.9% 120.12 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 93.7% 1.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No 99.9% 120.12 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 117.88 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 1.91 shares