Polymarket Trader

StevenRoberts5503

0x234abe6966310113489d4dfd767d400ebe91cbff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.17
Realized PnL: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $38.9
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $14.72

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $28.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $8.91
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.7

Yes position

Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $193.16

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.08

Hapoel Tel Aviv position

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.92

Yes position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $110.52

Yes position

Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.72

Yes position

Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.5

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.44

No position

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $63.62

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.4

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $52.26

Yes position

Will Brett M. Kavanaugh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.87

No position

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.19

Yes position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.72

No position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $41.31

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $39.24

No position

Will "Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.83

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.47

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $36.68

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.04

No position

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.56

No position

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $22.65

No position

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 43% 11 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 23% 10 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 23% 514 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 23% 550 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 22% 574 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 22% 204 shares
Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 0.2% 105 shares
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

No 79.8% 153 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 57% 377 shares
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

No 85.9% 153 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 69% 100 shares
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

No 86.1% 537 shares