Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $453.57
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.69K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $53.58
Polymarket Trader
0x234e7768AC81b5E78c64299fF035384B424f240b-1770649961553
0x234e7768ac81b5e78c64299ff035384b424f240b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.63K
- Realized PnL
- $11.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $5.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$601.63
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.11K
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $448.21
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $48.22
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $361.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$15.73
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $387.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$14.37
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $332.93
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$67.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $675.66
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $300.86
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $443.27
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $43.28
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $421.76
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$78.24
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $739.03
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $959.89
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$160.97
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $567.8
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $127.12
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $75.26
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$424.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $874.07
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $673.23
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$125.93
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $992.31
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $546.15
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$7.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$191.7
Sweden position
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $992.65
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $477.94
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $52.23
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$447.77
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $622.38
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $634.95
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$377.62
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $959.44
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $262.78
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$140.55
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $932.78
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $270.81
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$17.22
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $918.86
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $114.73
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $118.86
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $893.04
- Potential profit
- $882.33
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$189.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $798.61
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.61
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.99
USA position
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.56
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.46
Canada position
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.97
Haiti position
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.42
Finland position
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.26
Czechia position
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.45
Blackhawks position
Blackhawks vs. Utah
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.62
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.95
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.78
Slovakia position
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.78
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.58
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Lightning
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.58
Penguins position
Penguins vs. Utah
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.79
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $211.77
Sabres position
Lightning vs. Sabres
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Canada position
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 3,146.07 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 87% 2,873.56 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 1,538.46 shares
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Sweden 68% 1,470.59 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti 69% 1,159.42 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Haiti 49% 1,428.57 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland 69% 1,449.28 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 76% 1,315.79 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 603.13 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 63% 1,746.03 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 71% 1,408.45 shares
- Spread: England (-1.5)Croatia 52% 2,115.38 shares