Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Current value
- $37.68
- Potential payout
- $149.22
- Potential profit
- $111.54
- Multiplier
- 3.96x
- User PnL
- $29.68
Polymarket Trader
0x235862a667007687441b925A178012eC377BEB50-1782211599744
0x235862a667007687441b925a178012ec377beb50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.29
- Realized PnL
- $31.8
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.56
- Potential payout
- $85.59
- Potential profit
- $74.04
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.88
- Potential profit
- $61.88
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.22
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.22
- Potential profit
- $11.22
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?Yes 3.1% 31.88 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 5.3% 95.19 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 15.2% 65.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?Yes 73.6% 133.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes 85% 58.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 32.81 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 30.5% 32.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?Yes 67.9% 14.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown 20% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 48% 4.17 shares