Polymarket Trader

0x234

0x2375550d3b98ce364476c81f663a0b878cb0691f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $451.92
Realized PnL: $42.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.3K
Potential profit: $7.3K
User PnL: -$2.13K

No position

Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$1.68K

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.78K
Potential profit: $4.78K
User PnL: -$263.12

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$1.34K

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$2.4K

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$99.46

No position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$535.68

Yes position

Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$199.93

No position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$399.98

Yes position

Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$195.68

No position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$774.81

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$176.75

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$14.79

Yes position

Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$321.41

No position

Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $451.92
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$34.67

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$234.82

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$17.37

Yes position

Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$48.75

Yes position

Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$120.3

No position

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$202.96

No position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$485.14

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$254.5

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$459.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71K

No position

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

No position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will FedEx say "Smith" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.2

No position

Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $957.29

No position

Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.4

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897.29

No position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $801.04

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756.42

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.31

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?

Yes 67% 14 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 34% 27 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 74% 19 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 25% 78 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 34% 3 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 74% 36 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 25% 655 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 70% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 69% 15 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 69% 10 shares
Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 75% 10 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 74% 10 shares