Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$45.87
Polymarket Trader
kelbros
0x23775b1ccd68ee5cc539c1d63507fd613813c69c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.17
- Realized PnL
- $19.82
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.95
- Potential profit
- $649.95
- User PnL
- -$15.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.09
- Potential profit
- $611.09
- User PnL
- -$34.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.45
- Potential profit
- $168.45
- User PnL
- -$14.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.45
- Potential payout
- $62.48
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $57.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.28
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.44
- Potential profit
- $53.44
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.23
- Potential profit
- $45.23
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.25
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.1
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.62
- Potential profit
- $15.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on June 25?No 99% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25?Yes 4.9% 83.33 shares
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.7% 333.33 shares
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 166.66 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 9% 16.67 shares
- Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.8% 250 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 79% 4.2 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 5.8% 62.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5.2% 71.43 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 55% 8.19 shares
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 74.3% 6.25 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 53% 8.77 shares