No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $117.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Polymarket Trader
lcresearch
0x237993fa247d70c72ffa12bf7ff5350c9f701f3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.72K
- Realized PnL
- $248.7
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.17
- Potential profit
- $555.17
- User PnL
- -$373.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.03
- Potential profit
- $445.03
- User PnL
- -$373.09
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $149.16
- Potential payout
- $174.46
- Potential profit
- $25.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $16.16
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $62.78
- Potential payout
- $65.77
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $37.93
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $4.72
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $3.52
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.36
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 1,133.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 1,137.93 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 94.3% 65.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 286.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.5% 208.4 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 91% 1.65 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 77.7% 42.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 58% 37.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72% 30.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94% 77.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85% 235.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 266.67 shares