Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Polymarket Trader
Aerodrome
0x237a9ffde9df8272e4216ed8891ea44b13a8b645
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Netanyahu out by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Netanyahu out by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will XRP reach $3.50 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 18-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Israel strike Iran on Thursday Oct 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Trump in jail before election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on June 3?No 99.9% 71 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.9% 76 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No 99.9% 76.69 shares
- Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 99.9% 8.89 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 98.5% 77 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 99.9% 128.6 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $140?No 99.9% 65.3 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No 99.9% 175.7 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No 99.8% 48 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 33.61 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 97% 25.54 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No 97.9% 46.77 shares