No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $12.4K
- Potential payout
- $14.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$161.91
Polymarket Trader
-wraith-
0x238de8597e51b9821795ec9660937246c75870d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.31K
- Realized PnL
- -$7.83K
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $638.56
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $5.63K
- Potential payout
- $5.85K
- Potential profit
- $219.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $3.87K
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $336.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $800.56
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$606.86
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.28
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$608.19
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.49K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.2% 90.67 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.6% 1,050.74 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 74.8% 457.04 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 88% 1,555.56 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 80% 188.3 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 88.5% 1,493.46 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 84.4% 81.66 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 89.6% 630.47 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 85% 580 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 89.2% 429.42 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 83% 21.82 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 83% 1,000 shares