Polymarket Trader

excalibare

0x239ebee6c389cc559ced85cd5c43a7b5e1f5c085

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $402.5
Realized PnL: $653.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $402.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2025-10-14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$3

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Suns

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.95

PSG Talon position

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.85

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Blackhawks

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.75

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Red Wings

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.85

Los Ratones position

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.35

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Lightning position

Blackhawks vs. Lightning

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.1

Pacers position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.95

Capitals position

Canucks vs. Capitals

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $3.37
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $3.09
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Celtics position

Cavaliers vs. Celtics

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

76ers position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.9

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Jazz position

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Bulls position

Kings vs. Bulls

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.3

Suns position

Pacers vs. Suns

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.19

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.14

Raptors position

Grizzlies vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Hornets

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Thunder position

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.47

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.26

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Rams position

Rams vs. Jaguars

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 94% 500 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.4% 290 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?

No 99.5% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?

Yes 99.9% 92.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?

No 99% 300 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?

No 99.7% 200 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves 16% 7 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 96% 250 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 5?

No 99.8% 320 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 95% 460 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 89% 148 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?

Yes 99.9% 132 shares