Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$80.98
Polymarket Trader
Epiktetos
0x239fd0ac04518ae06395ac3e5bd00e057e212a2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.86
- Realized PnL
- $352.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $112
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Anthony Gordon be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.28
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.18
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $29.07
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Yes position
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$8.68
No position
Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Eberechi Eze be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will Ezri Konsa be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.26
- Potential profit
- $27.26
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $23.46
- Potential payout
- $26.05
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.3%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $25.43
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.66
No position
Will Tino Livramento be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $22.19
- Potential payout
- $22.55
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.49
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.22
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.7
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.6
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $31.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
No position
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Dominic Solanke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$142 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No 94.1% 5 shares
- Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No 94.2% 11.34 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 10 shares
- Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes 99.5% 15 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 99.99 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.4% 80 shares
- Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 0.3% 10 shares
- Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 0.4% 122.51 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No 50% 9.99 shares
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes 64.6% 20 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 28% 10 shares