Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
aranha
0x23ab85e822deed4733e09ca44f0df0cf4fa556c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.32
- Realized PnL
- $225.81
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $115.74
- Potential payout
- $301.79
- Potential profit
- $186.05
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$106.26
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.2
- Potential profit
- $178.2
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.08
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $123.57
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $123.21
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.80x
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$28.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 55% 314.93 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 13% 203.7 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 555.55 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 19% 65.98 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 7.6% 65.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8% 555.56 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 2.6% 769.23 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 6.2% 178.2 shares
- Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes 73.6% 301.79 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 9% 166.67 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 27% 203.7 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 15.9% 314.94 shares