wakawakashakira

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $20.18
Potential payout: $33.91
Potential profit: $13.73
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $31.49
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.13

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $9.71
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.6
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

Over position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.1%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $9.63
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$0.46

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.39

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

No position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Over position

Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Under position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Over position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Emma Navarro position

Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Spain to score first vs. Austria?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.7%
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?