No position
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $62.22
- Potential payout
- $63.29
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.22
Polymarket Trader
totorocatbus
0x23d5d3361de3a6e3823bdcd5b9dd1db50b924fb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.45
- Realized PnL
- $30.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $10.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $14.44
- Potential profit
- $9.61
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.8%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?No 34.6% 14.44 shares
- Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?No 79% 63.29 shares
- Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 56.4% 10.64 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 97.4% 21.73 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 69% 21.74 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 90% 11.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70% 15 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 72% 8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 55% 20 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes 38% 13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 74% 50 shares