Polymarket Trader

old-lan

0x23d7a1296d05398523beaf17ff564842a2390f30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.61K
Realized PnL: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $889.45
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $185.36

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $388.28
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $303.76

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990.98
Potential profit: $990.98
User PnL: -$777.99

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $294.74
Potential payout: $479.25
Potential profit: $184.51
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $54.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.26
Potential profit: $102.26
User PnL: -$87.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.61

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.77

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.51

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.62

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.57

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.82

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.8%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $50.71

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.55

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.85

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.39

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.15

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.4

No position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $32.67

Down position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.79

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.38

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 51% 5.05 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 52% 614.27 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 50.7% 324.04 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 50% 17.28 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 49% 185.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Down 85% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Up 15% 33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Up 28% 17.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Down 53.9% 55.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Down 55% 9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Up 58% 3.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET

Down 51% 3.88 shares