uhhh

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.14K
Potential profit: $6.14K
User PnL: -$3.39K

No position

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$1.53K

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$398.45

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Norway join the Board of Peace?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$63.31

No position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$406.52

Yes position

Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$45.13

Yes position

Will India join the Board of Peace?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$80.78

No position

Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$204.6

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $917.75
Potential profit: $917.75
User PnL: -$20.19

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $907.54
Potential profit: $907.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $883.46
Potential profit: $883.46
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.71
Potential profit: $747.71
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump say "Patriot" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $698.64
Potential profit: $698.64
User PnL: -$284.6

No position

Will Thomas Massie applaud during Trump's State of the Union?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695
Potential profit: $695
User PnL: -$96.07

Yes position

Will 60-69 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.47
Potential profit: $686.47
User PnL: -$142.43

Yes position

Will Germany join the Board of Peace?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.05
Potential profit: $649.05
User PnL: -$14.94

Yes position

Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $626.34
Potential profit: $626.34
User PnL: -$31.43

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.5
Potential profit: $600.5
User PnL: -$26.69

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $504.8
Potential profit: $504.8
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Italy join the Board of Peace?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.32
Potential profit: $498.32
User PnL: -$23.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Pereira position

Ankalaev vs. Pereira

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.68

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746.01

No position

Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746

Yes position

Will Trump attend UFC 327?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $701.88

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.02

No position

Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.05

No position

Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.1

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

No position

Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.2

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.66

No position

Will Trump say "Stupid" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.95

Yes position

Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.87

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.15

Yes position

Will the State of the Union begin between 9PM and 9:15PM ET?