No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $369.22
- Potential payout
- $369.59
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- User PnL
- $24.76
Polymarket Trader
farstar
0x23ddbcf51215a5c7ff6cdfb90f37b8c462b3f944
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $636.12
- Realized PnL
- -$428.91
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.25
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $117.65
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22?Up 99.9% 55.68 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22?Up 89.4% 55.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 85% 117.65 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 67% 149.25 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 46% 652.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 90% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 93.2% 369.59 shares
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes 99% 31.25 shares
- Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No 34% 29.41 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?Yes 7.4% 270.28 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 72% 27.78 shares