Polymarket Trader

adamik

0x23fe1a068a03db86b102d0091c99690fb1e74320

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $173.95
Realized PnL: $274.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $173.95
Potential payout: $49.7K
Potential profit: $49.52K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$24.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: $95.43

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.09

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.15

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.98

Natus Vincere position

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Chelsea beat West Ham?

Ends Sep 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon tweet 1100 or more times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 1,386.43 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 466.29 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 1,295.93 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 2,730 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 49,698.88 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 3,341.94 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 7,124.68 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 2,635.58 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 111.33 shares
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

Natus Vincere 66% 36.36 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 50% 8.52 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 49.4% 46.3 shares