No position
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $30.29
- Potential payout
- $30.36
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.29
Polymarket Trader
12234
0x24001177edde7d260fc25633b4a2dfc41bd78209
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.97
- Realized PnL
- $5.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.28
- Potential payout
- $30.33
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.3
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.03
- Potential payout
- $30.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.04
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.03
- Potential payout
- $7.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Circle IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Kraken IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No 99.6% 7.03 shares
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 30.03 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99% 30.3 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 98.8% 30.36 shares
- Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 98.9% 30.33 shares
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 6.86 shares
- People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?No 99.2% 10.08 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?No 99.9% 40.05 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?No 99.8% 30.06 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?No 99.8% 40.08 shares