Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $205.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $377.15
Polymarket Trader
0x241F...e15a
0x241ff966f22080fbee3928e194763e575847e15a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.19K
- Realized PnL
- $5.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $627.48
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$959.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $99.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $113.62
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $820
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $261.56
- Potential payout
- $272.17
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.11
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $245.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.96
No position
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.41
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.07
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.38
No position
Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.36
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.01
No position
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.2
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.8
No position
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.64
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.7% 999.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 6.4% 39.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 80% 475.55 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 94% 446.88 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 93.3% 944.55 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 82% 284.8 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 83% 394 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.9% 3,940.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.2% 3,560.93 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 651.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3% 53.22 shares