Polymarket Trader

M4t30

0x2422ce7d862c459074bab6291745caab2ce66c9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$3.5
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.2
Potential profit: $282.2
User PnL: -$28.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Daniel Merida Aguilar position

Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutet

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Down 78% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 99% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 98% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 99% 12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 50% 12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 67% 2.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 38% 6.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 29% 6.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 80% 2.5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 1% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Down 99% 1.02 shares