Polymarket Trader

Gustaves

@bertoskates1

0x2432d351ede907c2c333d73c7cfc14a819177fb0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $166.86
Realized PnL: $366.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $86.02
Potential payout: $103.01
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $58.31
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $24.78
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $28.51
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $27.07
Potential payout: $29.38
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $22.58
User PnL: -$21

No position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.23
Potential profit: $20.23
User PnL: -$19.3

No position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.96
Potential profit: $15.96
User PnL: -$15

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.91

No position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.86

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Spurs position

Mavericks vs. Spurs

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 82.5% 103.01 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 46.9% 53.3 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.3% 58.31 shares
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 91.9% 29.38 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 96% 12.5 shares
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

No 96.8% 17.15 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 86% 39.53 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 93.2% 108.76 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 83% 20.48 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 92.8% 108.86 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Yes 40.2% 26.18 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 93.9% 106.45 shares