Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $11.57K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$341.31
Polymarket Trader
Thepaulson
0x243319298f9dd3ec2951d75edd5e8e8c99a28235
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.96K
- Realized PnL
- $2.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $361.77
- Potential payout
- $10.22K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$26.56
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.77K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.8% 10,219.47 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 64.76 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 11,505.42 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 96.7% 29.03 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes 35.8% 4,181.04 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 46% 865.72 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 24% 204.17 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 41% 243.9 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 41% 731.71 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 24% 1,250 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 31% 29.03 shares