Yes position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.3%
- Current value
- $162.48
- Potential payout
- $248.82
- Potential profit
- $86.34
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $79.48
Polymarket Trader
haha0217
0x24556c9b1fb04f80c63a1926b133fcffce0b46a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.41
- Realized PnL
- -$102.21
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.44
- Potential profit
- $137.44
- User PnL
- -$57.97
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $68.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $31.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $55.43
- Potential payout
- $55.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $48.23
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.05
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 5.1% 126 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 30.1% 300 shares
- Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes 88.1% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 31% 252 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 12% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 39.7% 504 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 24% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 64% 300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes 43% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by March 31, 2026?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 100 shares