Polymarket Trader

exothetajunkie

0x24787691ebc296444add2ee3dea03c9d6f9b2e62

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.28K
Realized PnL: $33.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.03K
Potential profit: $21.03K
User PnL: -$4.42K

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $14K
User PnL: -$2.05K

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.02K
Potential profit: $13.02K
User PnL: -$73.39

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$1.65K

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $43.87
Potential payout: $9.75K
Potential profit: $9.7K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.21K

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.19K
Potential profit: $9.19K
User PnL: -$2.78K

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.61K
Potential profit: $7.61K
User PnL: -$1.96K

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.95K
Potential profit: $6.95K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $5.98K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $4.01K
User PnL: -$192.49

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $837.88
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $656.13

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $172.65
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.39K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$364.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $3.49K
User PnL: -$809.46

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$945.36

Yes position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$505.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$519.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$45.57

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$59.79

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$79.28

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $320.4
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$78.77

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$895

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$106.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.32

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $992.81

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.93

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $843.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $720.4

Musetti position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $679.08

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $653.84

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.78

Packers position

Packers vs. Lions

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 8.2% 160 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 52% 1,000 shares
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes 18.2% 1,000 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.8% 2,076.36 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 48% 2,081.91 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.1% 336.92 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 11.5% 124 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 29% 331.61 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

No 26% 332.32 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

No 24% 314.26 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 21.1% 636.07 shares