Polymarket Trader

0x247b...729f

0x247b4a98c087c4e33d289d967f98b011a85a729f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $24.02
Realized PnL: $25.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $7.57
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $10.07
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5.03
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22
Potential profit: $4.22
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $3.14
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $2.87
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 23.7% 3.57 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 75.4% 2.65 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 83.1% 1.2 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 39% 3.33 shares
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 82% 18.29 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 2.78 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80% 1.25 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares