Polymarket Trader

Akatosh

0x247cf37f2bb72474dd956edddda427a112be4034

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.79K
Realized PnL: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.09K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.63
Potential profit: $4.63
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65
Potential profit: $1.65
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.8%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $1.38
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.03

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.95

No position

Will India join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.7

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.2

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.03

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.98

No position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.57

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.76

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.11

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.31

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.96

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.51

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.03

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 27% 740.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 26.4% 1,893.54 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 41.9% 2,386.55 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 99% 1,639.34 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 61% 1,639.34 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 17.6% 4,293.98 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 72.7% 1.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 35.1% 854.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 89.3% 1.12 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 63% 317.46 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 54% 1,111.2 shares