Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $691.71
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $898.43
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$294.18
Polymarket Trader
great-cuttle-ketchup
0x247deeb0cfe0af93018beb4cb9156cf76b65c55a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $691.71
- Realized PnL
- $120.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.38
- Potential profit
- $637.38
- User PnL
- -$291.65
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $87
- User PnL
- -$13.92
No position
Will Powell say "Variable" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Yes position
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$13.92
Yes position
Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13.4
Yes position
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$13.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.17
Yes position
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.37
No position
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Yes position
Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes 50% 287.71 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes 43% 118 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes 42% 206.67 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes 41% 25 shares
- Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?Yes 62% 22 shares
- Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?Yes 41% 20 shares
- Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?Yes 16% 0.83 shares
- Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?No 64% 16 shares
- Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?Yes 74% 18 shares
- Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?Yes 65% 21 shares
- Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?Yes 47% 22 shares
- Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?Yes 62% 22 shares