Polymarket Trader

mrblarg64

0x2482f87037df2ce3cada66afad2d1820ad5afd45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.36
Realized PnL: $3.42
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $49.83
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $9.81

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $67.36
Potential payout: $345.44
Potential profit: $278.08
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$14.48

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.32
Potential payout: $191.74
Potential profit: $183.42
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$7.91

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $68.19
Potential profit: $59.32
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$11.97

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $53.91
Potential profit: $47.71
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $21.72
Potential payout: $26.48
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.63
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.21
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.18

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.61x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Canada position

South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance

Canada 72% 20.83 shares
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?

No 89% 7.9 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?

Yes 92% 5.43 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 65% 2.49 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 59% 3.7 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 65% 3.08 shares
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals

Yes 54% 3.7 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 86% 15.12 shares
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Over 67% 4.48 shares
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

No 90% 38.89 shares