Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Polymarket Trader
0x24b0...b5b6
0x24b03f6a81125694a17cdf8cf8cf5eab9833b5b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $41.98
- Realized PnL
- $3.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $4.83
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $4.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will no qualifying event occur on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Ismaily SC win on 2026-05-07?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will another person win the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
N
No position
Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes 99.8% 4.65 shares
- Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?No 98% 4.67 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 98.6% 4.65 shares
- Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 99.9% 4.7 shares
- Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 4.71 shares
- Will Anne Hathaway attend UFC Freedom 250?No 99.9% 4.7 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 98.4% 4.77 shares
- Will "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?No 99% 4.73 shares
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?No 99.8% 4.72 shares
- Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)XI Esport 99.9% 4.7 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?Up 99.8% 4.71 shares
- Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?Yes 99% 4.75 shares