valentin123

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.01
Potential profit: $45.01
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.01
Potential profit: $35.01
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $15.01
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.84
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?