Polymarket Trader

-P4nd4-

0x24bb756aae01af22640d27869b1b278cc3f834f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $267.12
Realized PnL: $3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36K
Potential profit: $36K
User PnL: -$45

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$21.7

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $50.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$6.5

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $985.5
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $51.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $948.49
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750.01
Potential profit: $750.01
User PnL: -$11.88

Yes position

Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $492.25
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.15
Potential profit: $438.15
User PnL: -$328.5

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$102.58

Team Vitality position

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.66
Potential profit: $399.66
User PnL: -$76.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $305
User PnL: -$15.24

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $45.47
Potential payout: $202.11
Potential profit: $156.64
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$106.09

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.5
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $35.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $164.1
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: $12.9

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $24.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175.1
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$5.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.93

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.34

No position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.47

Wolves Esports position

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.54

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109

BBL Esports position

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.8

Fnatic position

Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.21

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.6

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.47

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.6

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Rune Eaters position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3)

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.69

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.75

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.4

500 position

Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Ivory position

Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Amaru Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.14

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 89% 100 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 46.5% 9.48 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 90.6% 158.49 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Yes 9% 30 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 2.3% 200 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 630 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 120 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 99.98 shares
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 200 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 200 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

Yes 62.7% 20 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 200 shares