Polymarket Trader

Nasmutin

0x24c58fe04a5e039d2d4175fe59d41631a709923d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $907.27
Realized PnL: $21.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.41K
Potential profit: $8.41K
User PnL: -$114.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$119.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$97.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $304.88
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $59.89

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $277.5
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$35.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3PM ET

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$68.69

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$60.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $200.12
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $884.54
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $40.87

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$70

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $873.18
Potential profit: $873.18
User PnL: -$48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $842.94
Potential profit: $842.94
User PnL: -$98.32

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810.37
Potential profit: $810.37
User PnL: -$141.96

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $11.29
Potential payout: $806.33
Potential profit: $795.04
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$228.71

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $759.58
Potential profit: $759.58
User PnL: -$244.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.49
Potential profit: $666.49
User PnL: -$63.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $619.74
Potential profit: $615.72
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.97

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 5, 2PM ET

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.81
Potential profit: $523.81
User PnL: -$136.19

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 550k and 600k?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.55
Potential profit: $503.55
User PnL: -$50.36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488
Potential profit: $488
User PnL: -$14.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.7
Potential profit: $433.7
User PnL: -$83.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $421.4
Potential profit: $421.4
User PnL: -$73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?

Ends May 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?

Ends Jan 14, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

$4000 position

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?

Ends Sep 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.35

No position

Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.85

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.72

Yes position

Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?

Ends Mar 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.76

Yes position

Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.81

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $388.76

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.98

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.45

No position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.3

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.83

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.77

No position

BTC above $70,000 next friday?

Ends Mar 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.85

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup?

Ends Dec 18, 2022

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $249.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.58

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.01

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 11.9% 842.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 28.3% 353.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 33% 75.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 33.3% 300.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 36.4% 275.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 45.3% 220.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 49% 204.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 51.8% 192.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 51% 196.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Down 5.3% 472.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Down 9% 277.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Down 16% 156.25 shares