Polymarket Trader

debased

@debased_PM

0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $564.4K
Realized PnL: $13.07M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $186.76K
Potential payout: $560K
Potential profit: $373.24K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$93.24K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $373.24K
Potential payout: $560K
Potential profit: $186.76K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $93.24K

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $138.91
Potential payout: $277.81K
Potential profit: $277.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.49K

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $173.95K
Potential profit: $171.78K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $868.55

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.32
Potential payout: $124.64K
Potential profit: $124.57K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.26
Potential payout: $124.52K
Potential profit: $124.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11M

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $999.8K

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $890.53K

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $843.33K

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $649.62K

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $624.75K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $593.97K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $509.98K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $505.27K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $489.78K

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $489.21K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $473.35K

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $453.62K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $452.15K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.07K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $352.97K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $349.89K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $312.65K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $301.59K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $288.53K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.47K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $263.06K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $230.1K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $226.55K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 48,888.89 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 22,222 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 22,222 shares
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 39,298.4 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 22,222 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.1% 16,940.78 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 80.7% 948.5 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 27,282.58 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 66,666 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 17,076.41 shares
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Yes 99.2% 2,125 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 27,282.58 shares