monoclith

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $138.96
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $54.04
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Jonathan Dearden win Top Chef Season 23?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.04
Potential profit: $184.04
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $47.48
Potential payout: $153.15
Potential profit: $105.67
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $152.92
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $74.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $152.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$73.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $88.67
Potential payout: $124.89
Potential profit: $36.22
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $21.23

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $70.2
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will Monica Rodriguez finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.66
Potential profit: $109.66
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.86
Potential profit: $102.86
User PnL: -$72.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$55.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.99
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $77.01
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$14.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$31.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.95
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $39.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$28.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Will "Mother Mary" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.44
Potential profit: $79.44
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.39
Potential profit: $79.39
User PnL: -$68.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $73.89
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $68.07
Potential profit: $68.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$9.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.8
Potential profit: $65.8
User PnL: -$19.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.62

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16?