Polymarket Trader

Independenthinker

0x25094e1d6a9e623d4924b42ae885ec97b647cdd8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.8
Realized PnL: $247.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Third term" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.28
Potential profit: $507.28
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $38.76
Potential payout: $335.58
Potential profit: $296.82
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $18.76

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $193.18
Potential profit: $189.22
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$16.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.45
Potential profit: $192.45
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.9
Potential profit: $184.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $13.08
Potential payout: $180.45
Potential profit: $167.37
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$6.92

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.33
Potential profit: $174.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.17
Potential profit: $170.17
User PnL: -$5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.47
Potential profit: $85.47
User PnL: -$20

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $25.95
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$9.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.66
Potential profit: $22.66
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.38
Potential profit: $17.38
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.3

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.66

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Yes 57.5% 17.38 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 31.7% 31.5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 42% 23.26 shares
Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?

No 25% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)

Yes 26.5% 22.66 shares
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 38% 52.63 shares
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

No 48% 10 shares
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

No 23% 10 shares
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Yes 55% 10 shares
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Yes 99.7% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 37% 25.95 shares