Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x251B45a349933B77E0619700F89A8db66E76cf04-1774346129293
0x251b45a349933b77e0619700f89a8db66e76cf04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.15
- Realized PnL
- $258.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.01
- Potential profit
- $234.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $185.93
- Potential profit
- $180.07
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$10.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.72
- Potential profit
- $137.72
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.61
- Potential profit
- $127.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.4
- Potential profit
- $125.4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.33
- Potential profit
- $123.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.41
- Potential profit
- $118.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.51
- Potential profit
- $114.51
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.02
- Potential profit
- $110.02
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.6
- Potential profit
- $107.6
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $103
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $35.99
- Potential payout
- $102.39
- Potential profit
- $66.4
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $17.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.5
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $83.94
- Potential profit
- $83.6
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.05
- Potential profit
- $82.05
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.7
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?Yes 29% 4.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 3?Yes 8.5% 11.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 3?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 2?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?Yes 99.7% 4.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?Yes 34% 7.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 1?Yes 31% 3.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 1?Yes 12.9% 9.43 shares