Polymarket Trader

ichigotensei

0x25208d04116fe812af2d1c87b021198fffb8b197

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $400.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

THUNDER dOWNUNDER position

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $988.2
Potential profit: $988.2
User PnL: -$17.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.33
Potential profit: $360.33
User PnL: -$50.45

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.55
Potential profit: $273.55
User PnL: -$54.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.42
Potential profit: $221.42
User PnL: -$13.4

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169
Potential profit: $169
User PnL: -$5.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.68
Potential profit: $164.68
User PnL: -$51.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.99
Potential profit: $141.99
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.62
Potential profit: $121.62
User PnL: -$29.19

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$55.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.23
Potential profit: $99.23
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.19
Potential profit: $98.19
User PnL: -$9.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.58

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Stars

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.04

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Entropy position

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

9z position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 84.7% 40.8 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 20% 180 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 90% 180 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 13% 99.98 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 33% 61.66 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 22% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

9z 99.9% 170 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

9z 93% 170.34 shares
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Under 1% 19.6 shares
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Under 51% 19.61 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 75% 66.67 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Aurora Gaming 99.9% 221.21 shares