Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $825.79
- Potential payout
- $42.35K
- Potential profit
- $41.52K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.53K
Polymarket Trader
Trading4Fridge
@Fridge_Trader
0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.33K
- Realized PnL
- $92.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $3.94K
- Potential payout
- $14.58K
- Potential profit
- $10.64K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $12.94K
- Potential profit
- $11.71K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $118.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.56K
- Potential payout
- $11.58K
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $10.91K
- Potential profit
- $9.11K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $54.57
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.81K
- Potential profit
- $10.81K
- User PnL
- -$96.95
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $7.05K
- Potential payout
- $10.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $979.53
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $60.84
- Potential payout
- $10.14K
- Potential profit
- $10.08K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$473.35
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $774.25
- Potential payout
- $8.28K
- Potential profit
- $7.51K
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $226.6
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $673.56
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.71K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$231.31
No position
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $5.16K
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $170.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $399.98
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $50.38
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$176.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$48.4
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $632.82
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.81K
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.59K
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $761.09
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $532.12
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $507.26
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- User PnL
- -$235.6
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $18.84
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $83.33
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.1%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $828.03
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $379.8
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.68K
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $131.64
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $724.39
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$220.76
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $255.14
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$235.61
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.95K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $458.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $77.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 11% 361 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 16% 10,850.28 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69.3% 1,043.86 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 86.4% 1,810 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 19.4% 3,844.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 62% 550 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 10% 58.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 11% 211.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 10% 300 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 64.9% 8,360.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 12.8% 12,343.84 shares